Statistical downscaling of general circulation model outputs to precipitation—part 1: calibration and validation
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Statistical Downscaling of General Circulation Model Outputs to Precipitation Accounting for Non-Stationarities in Predictor-Predictand Relationships
This paper presents a novel approach to incorporate the non-stationarities characterised in the GCM outputs, into the Predictor-Predictand Relationships (PPRs) in statistical downscaling models. In this approach, a series of 42 PPRs based on multi-linear regression (MLR) technique were determined for each calendar month using a 20-year moving window moved at a 1-year time step on the predictor ...
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آب حاصل از بارش منبع تأمین نیازهای بی شمار جانداران به ویژه انسان است و هرگونه کاهش در کم و کیف آن مستقیماً حیات موجودات زنده را تحت تأثیر منفی قرار می دهد. نوسان سال به سال بارش از ویژگی های اساسی و بسیار مهم بارش های سالانه ایران محسوب می شود که آثار زیان بار آن در تمام عرصه های اقتصادی، اجتماعی و حتی سیاسی- امنیتی به نحوی منعکس می شود. چون میزان آب ناشی از بارش یکی از مولفه های اصلی برنامه ...
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Six approaches for downscaling climate model outputs for use in hydrologic simulation were evaluated, with particular emphasis on each method’s ability to produce precipitation and other variables used to drive a macroscale hydrology model applied at much higher spatial resolution than the climate model. Comparisons were made on the basis of a twenty-year retrospective (1975– 1995) climate simu...
متن کاملClimate change scenarios generated by using GCM outputs and statistical downscaling in an arid region
Two statistical downscaling models, the non-homogeneous hidden Markov model (NHMM) and the Statistical Down–Scaling Model (SDSM) were used to generate future scenarios of both mean and extremes in the Tarim River basin,which were based on nine combined scenarios including three general circulation models (GCMs) (CSIRO30, ECHAM5,and GFDL21) predictor sets and three special report on emission sce...
متن کاملassessment of the precipitation and temperature changes over south east iran using downscaling of general circulation models outputs
introduction numerous studies have demonstrated the relationship between the amount of co2 in the atmosphere and climate change. in this respect, developed countries have an undeniable role and cause serious damage to earth environment throughout the world. ipcc’ forth evaluation report implies that adding greenhouse gases to the atmosphere during recent decades prevents the heat rays to emit w...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Climatology
سال: 2014
ISSN: 0899-8418,1097-0088
DOI: 10.1002/joc.3914